Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:28:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbaba…b898
crypto · 1267 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,583 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,580 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$111
Realized−$2,580
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses602 / 664
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1266 / 1267
History coverage8d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day295.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,033
7 days−$2,288
14 days−$2,580
30 days−$2,580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 56¢ 64¢ $90 $104 +$14 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 36¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$90 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$21 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$19 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$20 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $279 +$234 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$83 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $124 +$42 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$24 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$70 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$22 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$27 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $291 +$297 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$82 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$22 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,583
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $93 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $93 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $31 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $31 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $217 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1140 -5.8% -14.8% 48% 46% -14.3%
≤30d 1266 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 46% -14.6%
≤90d 1266 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 46% -14.6%
all 1266 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 46% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover295.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 46% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 45% -22.7%
15% -30.3% 42% -30.2%
20% -37.1% 35% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $111.11 · official $113.93 · 3448 history records