Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T17:34:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
BA 0xbab7…212f crypto 8 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$8 (+5%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -0% what you keep after slip
Net edge-0%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate100%8W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day12.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +19.7% +8.3% 100% 62% +5.0%
≤30d 8 +19.7% +8.3% 100% 62% +5.0%
≤90d 8 +19.7% +8.3% 100% 62% +5.0%
all 8 +19.7% +8.3% 100% 62% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.3% 62% +5.0%
10% -2.1% 38% -5.0%
15% -11.5% 12% -14.2%
20% -20.2% 12% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 58% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +20% · $-wt +16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses8 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 8 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records