Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:52:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
BA 0xbaa6…bd37 crypto 215 markets active 6d ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$62 (-11%) realized −$62 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate54%116W / 99L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day66.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$30
14 days−$73
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -4.6% -13.7% 53% 51% -19.7%
≤30d 215 -4.6% -13.7% 54% 52% -21.6%
≤90d 215 -4.6% -13.7% 54% 52% -21.6%
all 215 -4.6% -13.7% 54% 52% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 52% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 43% -29.1%
15% -29.5% 36% -36.0%
20% -36.4% 24% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses116 / 99
Open positions0
Markets (closed)215 / 215
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day66.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 215 Trades
no open positions (59 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 638 history records