trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 17¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Under | 68¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $17 | $0 | −$17 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | 43¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $9 | +$5 | +57% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $18 | −$17 | -98% |
| Czechia to win the second half? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$8 | -52% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $15 | −$9 | -62% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | −$3 | -53% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Korea Republic leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | +$14 | +139% |
| Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $20 | +$30 | +145% |
| Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| all | 22 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 50% | 50% | -23.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.7% | 50% | -23.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -22.0% | 50% | -30.5% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 50% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 32% | -43.4% |