Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba90…a450
sports · 472 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$1,178 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,203 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$397
Realized+$1,203
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses203 / 258
Est. fees paid−$135
Open positions11
Markets (closed)461 / 472
History coverage439d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 11 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$144
7 days+$661
14 days+$909
30 days+$1,105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $75 $74 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 56¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $61 $60 −$1 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 35¢ 34¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Over 18¢ 17¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Over 8¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Over 3¢ 3¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs No 56¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28? No 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) 76ers 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 36¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Tatsuro Taira 61¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 42¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 63¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $23 +$21 +89%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $16 +$20 +124%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 +$136 +134%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $49 −$48 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $19 +$21 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $31 −$31 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $19 +$20 +105%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $186 −$183 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $35 +$21 +60%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $15 +$20 +134%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $9 −$8 -98%
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) Jun 10 $32 −$32 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $19 +$21 +109%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $52 −$51 -98%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 09 $35 −$35 -99%
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Stojsavljevic (+1.5) Jun 09 $15 +$3 +20%
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Jun 09 $22 +$21 +93%
DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $19 +$20 +105%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $19 +$21 +107%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $20 +$20 +97%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $17 +$21 +124%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $14 +$21 +145%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $30 +$20 +65%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $24 +$20 +83%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $87 +$99 +114%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $34 +$20 +57%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $30 +$20 +67%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $18 −$18 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants Jun 07 $26 −$26 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $26 −$26 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $51 −$3 -5%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $51 +$89 +174%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $30 −$30 -99%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 07 $102 +$230 +225%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $51 +$26 +51%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $164 +$264 +160%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $51 +$74 +146%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $102 −$100 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $25 −$25 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $51 −$50 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $102 +$176 +172%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $51 +$25 +48%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $38 −$38 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $25 −$25 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $35 −$35 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $61 +$52 +86%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $14 −$14 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $12 +$22 +180%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$1,124
other 16% +$87
world 1% +$17
politics 1% −$31
crypto 0% −$3
economics 0% −$10
finance 0% −$5
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $62 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $76 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 3¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 8¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 18¢ $12 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 35¢ $29 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $71 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 100¢ $44 1h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $238 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $102 17h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $102 17h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 31¢ $49 22h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 50¢ $21 37h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 44¢ $16 37h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 60¢ $31 37h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 52¢ $23 37h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 47¢ $19 37h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $186 43h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 46h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $51 46h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $51 46h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $16 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 48¢ $19 2d
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 29¢ $9 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 62¢ $35 2d
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5) BUY Eala 61¢ $32 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 45¢ $52 2d
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $15 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 47¢ $19 2d
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 63¢ $35 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +35.7% +22.7% 64% 64% +26.5%
≤30d 121 +13.6% +2.8% 50% 50% +9.0%
≤90d 373 -8.7% -17.4% 41% 41% +2.5%
all 461 -3.5% -12.6% 44% 43% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 43% +2.0%
10% -21.0% 41% -7.8%
15% -28.6% 40% -16.7%
20% -35.6% 38% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $396.59 · official $396.61 (match) · 904 history records