Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba8c…e77d
sports · 686 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,681 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,660 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,696
Realized+$3,660
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses657 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions16
Markets (closed)671 / 686
Avg bet$1,478
Trades / day556.4
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 16 History 671 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,709
7 days+$3,660
14 days+$3,660
30 days+$3,660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 100¢ 100¢ $4,048 $4,050 +$2 (+0%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Katarina Kujovic Katarina Kujovic 100¢ 100¢ $1,354 $1,355 +$1 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner GenOne 100¢ 100¢ $142 $142 −$1 (-0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? Under 80¢ 90¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+12%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Under 80¢ 90¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+13%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Under 76¢ 56¢ $26 $20 −$7 (-26%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) ex-RUBY 1¢ 100¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+9895%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 80¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) FURIA 80¢ 92¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Over 80¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 Over 80¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Over 80¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs MOUZ (+6.5) FURIA 80¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Elina Avanesyan 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Over 80¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Young Ninjas (-3.5) vs against All authority (+3.5) Young Ninjas 80¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
ITF Monastir: Diego Fernandez Flores vs Dominick Mosejczuk Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4,910 +$49 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
ITF Nice: Iva Ivanova vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 12 $49 $0 +0%
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $732 +$1 +0%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $95 $0 +0%
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Nikita Mashtakov Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $454 +$5 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $112 $0 +0%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Karine Sarkisova Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $222 +$78 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$2 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Jumpei Yamasaki vs Jangjun Kim Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,040 +$10 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$1 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $577 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $529 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2,921 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2,920 +$30 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1,726 +$17 +1%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $228 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,439 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2,070 −$27 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 12 $5,964 +$6 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $589 +$6 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $191 +$2 +1%
Will the game go to extra innings?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$10 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3,243 +$205 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,147 −$138 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $858 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $161 +$126 +78%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Tied after 5 innings? Jun 12 $22 +$5 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$2,148
crypto 16% +$1,108
other 13% +$301
tech 0% +$48
finance 0% +$65
weather 0% +$2
politics 0% +$8
world 0% $0
economics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 100¢ $2 0m
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 100¢ $2 1m
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 100¢ $4,048 1m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $16 9m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $126 10m
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 80¢ $20 19m
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? BUY Under 80¢ $20 20m
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Katarina Kuzmova 100¢ $4 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $89 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,989 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,704 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,189 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 33m
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 50¢ $2 51m
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 80¢ $24 51m
ITF Monastir: Diego Fernandez Flores vs Dominick Mosejczuk BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 100¢ $64 57m
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 100¢ $106 58m
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu BUY Mandegar Farzami 100¢ $25 1h
ITF Nice: Iva Ivanova vs Maria Sara Popa BUY Maria Sara Popa 100¢ $49 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato BUY Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 100¢ $181 1h
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 100¢ $1 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 80¢ $2 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Young Ninjas (-3.5) vs against All authority (+ BUY Young Ninjas 80¢ $2 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic BUY Marie Mettraux 100¢ $95 1h
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri BUY Lourdes Ayala 100¢ $14 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 80¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 671 +6.5% -3.7% 98% 11% -9.2%
≤30d 671 +6.5% -3.7% 98% 11% -9.2%
≤90d 671 +6.5% -3.7% 98% 11% -9.2%
all 671 +6.5% -3.7% 98% 11% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover556.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 11% -9.2%
10% -12.9% 11% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -21.3% 1% -25.8%
20% -29.0% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,696.30 · official $5,696.30 (match) · 3500 history records