Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba7f…6d25
crypto · 845 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,538 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,538 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,538
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses317 / 528
Open positions0
Markets (closed)845 / 845
History coverage64d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 845 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,695
7 days−$3,948
14 days−$5,059
30 days−$7,054
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$110 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$17 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $116 +$183 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$88 +418%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$100 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$58 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $133 −$30 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$173 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $206 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$136 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$126 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$36 +343%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$100 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $207 +$215 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $307 −$100 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$69 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$30 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$89 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$28 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14,538
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $37 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $299 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $116 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $36 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 -28.0% -34.8% 26% 26% -28.9%
≤30d 412 -12.6% -20.9% 30% 30% -27.6%
≤90d 845 -11.5% -20.0% 38% 36% -28.3%
all 845 -11.5% -20.0% 38% 36% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 36% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 33% -35.2%
15% -34.6% 29% -41.4%
20% -41.0% 24% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1914 history records