trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.4% | -7.3% | 100% | 0% | -7.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 50% | 0% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 50% | 6% | -7.4% |
| all | 16 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 50% | 6% | -7.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.1% | 6% | -7.4% |
| 10% | -11.5% | 6% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -20.0% | 6% | -24.3% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 6% | -31.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Borova by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $263 | $259 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? | Jun 19 | $257 | +$6 | +2% |
| Spread: Moldova (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $473 | +$24 | +5% |
| US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | Jun 09 | $471 | −$1 | -0% |
| Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 | Jun 09 | $471 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Jun 07 | $471 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Armenia (-2.5) | Jun 07 | $461 | +$39 | +8% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $469 | −$6 | -1% |
| Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $463 | +$12 | +3% |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $463 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Albania (-2.5) | Jun 04 | $469 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $468 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Jun 02 | $460 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Nice (-2.5) | May 28 | $452 | +$18 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $460 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | Apr 19 | $14 | +$15 | +107% |
| Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Nuria Brancaccio | Mar 26 | $73 | −$5 | -7% |