Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BA 0xba73…2fc0 crypto 172 markets active 7d ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (128 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$135 (-12%) realized −$135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate35%60W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day128.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$173
sports 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (128 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -23.5% -30.8% 35% 32% -29.0%
≤30d 172 -21.8% -29.2% 35% 31% -23.5%
≤90d 172 -21.8% -29.2% 35% 31% -23.5%
all 172 -21.8% -29.2% 35% 31% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover128.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.2% 31% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.0% 28% -30.8%
15% -42.2% 27% -37.5%
20% -47.9% 24% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.15 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses60 / 112
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day128.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 172 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $36 −$28 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 −$4 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$4 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -32%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -74%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +81%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 780 history records