trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 14 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $72 | $72 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1,295 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Jun 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | Jun 27 | $1,343 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 18 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 17 | $217 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $8 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 13 | $218 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March? | Mar 29 | $160 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 29 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 29 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 26 | $158 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 26 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 26 | $50 | $0 | -0% |