Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba67…4727
crypto · 113 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$737 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,009 · open −$272
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,775
Realized+$1,009
Unrealized−$272
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses71 / 37
Open positions9
Markets (closed)108 / 113
History coverage1d
Avg bet$184
Trades / day3392.0
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,009
7 days+$1,009
14 days+$1,009
30 days+$1,009
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 67¢ 96¢ $442 $637 +$196 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 49¢ 72¢ $386 $558 +$172 (+45%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 30¢ $195 $110 −$85 (-43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 67¢ 96¢ $71 $102 +$31 (+44%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 38¢ 28¢ $111 $80 −$31 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 39¢ 28¢ $107 $78 −$28 (-27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 43¢ 64¢ $50 $74 +$24 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $70 +$70 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 46¢ 36¢ $55 $44 −$11 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $18 +$18 (+0%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 0¢ 22¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 21¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 56¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 24¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$16 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$23 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$49 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$12 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$59 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$23 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$10 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$8 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$21 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $238 −$4 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$15 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $301 −$43 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $363 −$87 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$58 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $411 −$137 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $526 −$139 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $282 −$53 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $452 −$217 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$17 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $47 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $324 +$126 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$29 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $639 +$12 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$17 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $408 +$38 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$53 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$7 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$13 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $304 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $372 +$23 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$13 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$47 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $407 −$75 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$17 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $374 +$17 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $279 +$32 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$18 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $321 +$21 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $314 +$11 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$35 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $429 +$88 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$986
other 2% −$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 44% -4.9%
≤30d 108 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 44% -4.9%
≤90d 108 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 44% -4.9%
all 108 +7.6% -2.6% 66% 44% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3392.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.6% 44% -4.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 29% -14.0%
15% -20.5% 12% -22.3%
20% -28.3% 7% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,775.35 · official $1,215.16 · 3500 history records