trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 50% | 50% | +53.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 57% | 57% | +52.4% |
| all | 45 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 51% | 47% | +23.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.3% | 47% | +23.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -21.6% | 38% | +11.8% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 33% | +1.0% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 31% | -8.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $31,377 | +$25,938 | +83% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $18,056 | −$17,810 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $20,633 | +$40,659 | +197% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | Mar 30 | $1,000 | +$517 | +52% |
| Rangers vs. Jets | Mar 30 | $2,000 | +$2,550 | +128% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 30 | $11,000 | −$1,000 | -9% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $860 | +$1,922 | +224% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Feb 28 | $1,232 | +$2,707 | +220% |
| Kings vs. Rockets | Feb 25 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Feb 21 | $100 | +$52 | +52% |
| Heat vs. Hawks | Feb 21 | $385 | −$385 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | Feb 19 | $730 | −$730 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Feb 19 | $3,200 | −$3,200 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 19 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Grou | Feb 19 | $3,077 | +$1,888 | +61% |
| LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Feb 19 | $4,250 | −$4,250 | -100% |
| Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16? | Feb 18 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Feb 17 | $5,200 | +$3,505 | +67% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Feb 17 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Feb 16 | $13,000 | −$143 | -1% |
| Heat vs. Pelicans | Feb 12 | $400 | +$243 | +61% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Feb 12 | $6,800 | +$1,871 | +28% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Feb 12 | $3,550 | −$3,550 | -100% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Dec 04 | $310 | +$60 | +19% |
| Utah vs. Sharks | Dec 02 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Oct 31 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Texans | Oct 31 | $1,150 | −$1,150 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Oct 31 | $450 | −$450 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Dolphins | Oct 31 | $500 | +$133 | +27% |
| Hornets vs. Heat | Oct 31 | $600 | +$282 | +47% |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers | Oct 27 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 27 | $518 | −$418 | -81% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) | Oct 27 | $250 | +$556 | +223% |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | Oct 27 | $880 | +$120 | +14% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Oct 22 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Oct 22 | $349 | −$26 | -8% |
| Canucks vs. Penguins | Oct 22 | $255 | +$245 | +96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21? | Oct 21 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 21 | $229 | +$195 | +85% |
| Raiders vs. Chiefs | Oct 20 | $350 | +$48 | +14% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Oct 20 | $530 | +$470 | +89% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | Oct 14 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 14 | $960 | +$40 | +4% |
| Eagles vs. Giants | Oct 08 | $790 | −$790 | -100% |