Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:13:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba3a…6370
sports · 727 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$156 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$167 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$167
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses361 / 364
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions2
Markets (closed)725 / 727
History coverage99d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+25%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 69¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Juan Manuel La Serna Juan Manuel La Serna 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? No 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Alejandro Moro Canas 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Luca Nardi 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Marton Fucsovics 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Pedro Martinez 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Ipek Oz 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +58%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -80%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $8 −$6 -70%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $9 −$2 -24%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $8 −$6 -72%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $4 +$7 +153%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9 +$5 +64%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 +$1 +32%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $7 −$3 -46%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $9 +$3 +37%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 +$2 +54%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -79%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3 −$2 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$160
other 19% +$2
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $5 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $6 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 44m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 68¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $3 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 27¢ $1 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $4 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $4 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $3 2h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 25¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY No 47¢ $3 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $3 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 70¢ $4 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY No 54¢ $3 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $6 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 3h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 51¢ $4 4h
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 47¢ $2 4h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 62¢ $3 4h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 64¢ $3 5h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $3 5h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $3 6h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 70¢ $4 6h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 76¢ $5 6h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $2 6h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 55¢ $3 6h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 69¢ $3 6h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 45¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +1.4% -8.3% 55% 54% -3.4%
≤30d 125 +1.4% -8.3% 55% 54% -3.4%
≤90d 651 -1.4% -10.8% 49% 48% -8.3%
all 725 +1.9% -7.8% 50% 48% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 48% -5.4%
10% -16.6% 47% -14.4%
15% -24.7% 44% -22.7%
20% -32.1% 39% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.00 · official $7.00 (match) · 1913 history records