trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 114 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 81% | 26% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 26% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 16% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 11% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 8% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $221 | $221 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 in May? | Jun 27 | $221 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | May 21 | $221 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | Apr 19 | $220 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 19 | $221 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January? | Feb 04 | $220 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% in 2025? | Jan 12 | $120 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 in November? | Dec 09 | $71 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherla | Nov 17 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? | Oct 14 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September? | Oct 14 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? | Sep 20 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Cardinals vs. Brewers | Sep 20 | $35 | +$19 | +54% |
| Royals vs. Phillies | Sep 20 | $35 | +$26 | +75% |
| White Sox vs. Guardians | Sep 20 | $35 | +$26 | +75% |
| Orioles vs. Blue Jays | Sep 20 | $35 | +$29 | +82% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Sep 20 | $35 | +$32 | +92% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Sep 20 | $35 | +$34 | +96% |
| Astros vs. Braves | Sep 20 | $35 | +$36 | +104% |
| Mercury vs. Wings | Sep 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Valkyries vs. Lynx | Sep 12 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Dream vs. Sun | Sep 12 | $18 | +$2 | +14% |
| Aces vs. Sparks | Sep 12 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| Liberty vs. Sky | Sep 12 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Georgia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? | Sep 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Rangers vs. Mets | Sep 12 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Marlins | Sep 12 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Cubs | Sep 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Sparks vs. Mercury | Sep 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Mystics vs. Liberty | Sep 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Valkyries vs. Storm | Sep 10 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Lynx vs. Fever | Sep 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Sky vs. Aces | Sep 10 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Sun vs. Dream | Sep 10 | $22 | +$3 | +14% |
| Sparks vs. Dream | Sep 08 | $4 | +$1 | +35% |
| Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germany | Sep 08 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Liberty vs. Storm | Sep 08 | $4 | +$4 | +104% |
| Euro Basket: Sweden vs Turkey | Sep 08 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Euro Basket: Greece vs Israel | Sep 08 | $9 | +$3 | +30% |
| Lynx vs. Valkyries | Sep 08 | $10 | +$3 | +33% |
| Euro Basket: Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina | Sep 08 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Euro Basket: France vs Georgia | Sep 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbia | Sep 08 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Mercury vs. Sun | Sep 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Euro Basket: Latvia vs Lithuania | Sep 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Euro Basket: Italy vs Slovenia | Sep 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Sky vs. Fever | Sep 08 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Euro Basket: Spain vs Greece | Sep 05 | $12 | +$5 | +41% |
| Wings vs. Valkyries | Sep 05 | $30 | +$4 | +15% |
| Mercury vs. Mystics | Sep 05 | $30 | +$7 | +24% |
| Lynx vs. Aces | Sep 05 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |