trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +78.5% | +61.5% | 75% | 75% | +61.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +78.5% | +61.5% | 75% | 75% | +61.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +78.5% | +61.5% | 75% | 75% | +61.6% |
| all | 4 | +78.5% | +61.5% | 75% | 75% | +61.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +61.5% | 75% | +61.6% |
| 10% | +46.0% | 75% | +46.1% |
| 15% | +31.9% | 75% | +32.0% |
| 20% | +19.0% | 75% | +19.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29? | Yes | 69¢ | 53¢ | $100 | $77 | −$23 (-23%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29? | Yes | 37¢ | 68¢ | $24 | $43 | +$20 (+84%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $42 | $8 | −$34 (-80%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-55%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29? | No | 9¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-93%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 29? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $1 | −$19 (-97%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on June 29? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29? | Jun 29 | $31 | +$31 | +99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 29? | Jun 29 | $31 | +$62 | +198% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29? | Jun 28 | $31 | +$16 | +51% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29? | Jun 28 | $31 | −$11 | -34% |