Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba20…ea2b
crypto · 155 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$151 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$287 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$287
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses57 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)155 / 155
History coverage65d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$247
7 days+$32
14 days+$212
30 days+$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$74 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$64 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$32 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$32 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$65 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$31 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$31 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $18 +$32 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$28 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$30 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $34 +$45 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$28 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $20 +$29 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$12 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$35 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 09 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$19 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$33 +211%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$287
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $13 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $19 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $41 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $61 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $30 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $34 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $30 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $12 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +8.6% -1.7% 40% 40% -7.9%
≤30d 96 +12.0% +1.4% 41% 41% -4.4%
≤90d 155 -0.3% -9.8% 37% 37% -15.0%
all 155 -0.3% -9.8% 37% 37% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 37% -15.0%
10% -18.4% 37% -23.1%
15% -26.3% 37% -30.5%
20% -33.5% 36% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 545 history records