Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:23:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BA 0xba08…528f crypto 1216 markets active 3h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,437 (+2%) realized +$1,437 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate6%78W / 1139L
Whale WR40%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day57.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 20d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$735
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -6.1% -15.0% 45% 43% -27.8%
≤30d 1217 +0.0% -9.5% 6% 6% -10.5%
≤90d 1217 +0.0% -9.5% 6% 6% -10.5%
all 1217 +0.0% -9.5% 6% 6% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 6% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 5% -19.1%
15% -26.1% 4% -26.9%
20% -33.3% 3% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 40% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.7 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$50 vs −$70 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,437
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses78 / 1139
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1217 / 1216
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$55
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1217 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$25 -4325%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $145 +$112 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $103 +$63 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $92 −$85 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$20 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $106 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$37 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $155 −$153 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $306 +$87 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$5 +268%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$11 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$17 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $16 +$6 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $49 +$40 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$35 +226%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $425 +$65 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$25 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$14 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $78 +$32 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$19 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$52 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$30 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $260 −$246 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $237 −$126 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $359 −$358 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$85 +482%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records