Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xba01…8535
crypto · 638 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,222 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,883 · open −$684
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,507
Realized+$2,883
Unrealized−$684
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses213 / 406
Open positions23
Markets (closed)619 / 638
Avg bet$56
Trades / day2746.1
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 23 History 619 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,883
7 days+$2,883
14 days+$2,883
30 days+$2,883
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 74¢ 92¢ $1,225 $1,539 +$314 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 91¢ 99¢ $617 $671 +$54 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 83¢ 99¢ $380 $457 +$77 (+20%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Up 87¢ 95¢ $406 $443 +$37 (+9%)
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Up 76¢ 90¢ $194 $230 +$36 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Up 87¢ 90¢ $220 $228 +$8 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $38 $186 +$147 (+382%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 17¢ 100¢ $28 $168 +$140 (+502%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 82¢ 95¢ $111 $129 +$18 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 33¢ 8¢ $385 $87 −$298 (-77%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Up 46¢ 92¢ $26 $51 +$25 (+99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $24 $50 +$26 (+108%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $46 $50 +$4 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $43 $43 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Down 32¢ 8¢ $96 $26 −$71 (-73%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 26¢ 10¢ $66 $24 −$42 (-64%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Up 89¢ 72¢ $22 $18 −$4 (-19%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 36¢ 34¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Down 22¢ 5¢ $70 $16 −$55 (-78%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 93¢ 95¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 10¢ 28¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+180%)
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Down 29¢ 10¢ $34 $11 −$23 (-67%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 20¢ 28¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 12¢ 1¢ $79 $8 −$71 (-90%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 24¢ 5¢ $33 $7 −$26 (-77%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$4 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$18 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$10 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$4 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$21 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$21 +338%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$7 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$54 +117%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $143 −$43 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $135 +$165 +122%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$21 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$10 -9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$20 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$62 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$27 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$19 +127%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$28 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$70 +233%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$5 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$15 -28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$3 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$1,814
other 6% +$386
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $22 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $22 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 95¢ $47 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $32 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 94¢ $72 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $7 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $77 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $4 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $18 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $9 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $11 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $82 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 619 +5.1% -4.9% 34% 29% -1.3%
≤30d 619 +5.1% -4.9% 34% 29% -1.3%
≤90d 619 +5.1% -4.9% 34% 29% -1.3%
all 619 +5.1% -4.9% 34% 29% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2746.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 29% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 25% -10.8%
15% -22.3% 22% -19.4%
20% -29.9% 19% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,507.41 · official $4,507.42 (match) · 3500 history records