Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9fd…5c4f
weather · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$2,543 -3222%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses5 / 0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? No 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14? No 93¢ 92¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 14? No 97¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13? No 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 93% +$1
other 7% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14 SELL No 100¢ $10 53m
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 14? BUY No 93¢ $10 55m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $10 55m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 56m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $6 58m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $4 58m
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $9 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.2%
≤30d 5 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.2%
≤90d 5 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.2%
all 5 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 0% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 0% -16.1%
15% -24.2% 0% -24.2%
20% -31.6% 0% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.68 · official $29.68 (match) · 3500 history records