trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 11% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 11% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 30% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 4% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 4% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 4% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $39 | $39 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 20 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 08 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $131 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Dec 15 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 04 | $3 | +$2 | +62% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 25 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -29% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June? | Jun 21 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 21 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 20 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 18 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jun 18 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July? | Jun 17 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | Jun 16 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 14 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 13 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $24 | $0 | -0% |