Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T15:42:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B9 0xb9f5…ce6c sports 197 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,042 (+1%) realized +$2,028 · open +$14
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%194W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,002per market
Trades / day68.1pace
Fees−$70est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$206now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$454
7 days+$1,530
14 days+$2,252
30 days+$2,252
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$2,267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 194 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.5%
≤90d 194 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.5%
all 194 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 0% -8.5%
10% -17.2% 0% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.2% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$998) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$12 vs — no data
Profit factor
no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$206
Realized+$2,028
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses194 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$70
Open positions3
Markets (closed)194 / 197
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1,002
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 194 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan Marozsan 89¢ 100¢ $114 $128 +$14 (+12%)
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Darja Semenistaja Antonia Ruzic 99¢ 100¢ $72 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Troyes: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Philip Henning Dominic Stephan Stricker 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Fonseca Jun 29 $85 +$4 +4%
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang Jun 29 $748 +$8 +1%
Troyes: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Thomas Faurel Jun 29 $749 +$12 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Ruzic vs Semenistaja Jun 29 $15 $0 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 29 $5 $0 +1%
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Jun 29 $976 +$20 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 29 $756 +$14 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tarvet Jun 29 $66 +$3 +4%
Brasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadelli Jun 29 $506 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart Jun 29 $1,476 +$13 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 29 $35 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Jun 29 $2,178 +$20 +1%
Troyes: Dali Blanch vs Mickael Kaouk Jun 29 $355 +$6 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Andreescu vs Zhang Jun 29 $423 +$4 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Jun 29 $1,008 +$9 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Kecmanovic Jun 29 $16 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Jun 29 $171 +$2 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Damm Jun 29 $141 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 29 $1,891 +$19 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs Norrie Jun 29 $717 +$58 +8%
Set 1 Winner: Cristian vs Jovic Jun 29 $127 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Nava vs Buse Jun 29 $74 +$1 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs Busta Jun 29 $358 +$10 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Safiullin Jun 29 $483 +$22 +4%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert Jun 28 $5,768 +$58 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Bergs vs Humbert Jun 28 $3 $0 +1%
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp Jun 27 $2,760 +$163 +6%
Piracicaba: Lucas Da Silva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Jun 26 $364 +$4 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Silva vs Wild Jun 26 $139 +$1 +1%
Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Villanueva Jun 26 $1,593 +$17 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs Fokina Jun 26 $495 +$10 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs Muchova Jun 26 $489 +$16 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Aboian vs Casanova Jun 26 $24 +$1 +3%
Piracicaba: Nicolas Kicker vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 26 $33 $0 +1%
Piracicaba: Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas vs Juan Manuel La Serna Jun 25 $614 +$6 +1%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys Jun 25 $80 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Bianca Andreesc Jun 25 $285 +$3 +1%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentova Jun 25 $1,225 +$12 +1%
Piracicaba: Nick Hardt vs Nicolas Oliveira Jun 25 $3,000 +$30 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 25 $489 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovic Jun 25 $641 +$6 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Ribera vs Montgomery Jun 25 $50 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Soon-Woo Kwon Jun 25 $104 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kym Jun 25 $197 +$3 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anastasia Gasanova Jun 25 $1 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Rei Sakamoto Jun 25 $6 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Teodora Kostovic vs Lin Zhu Jun 25 $5,000 +$50 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs Iatcenko Jun 25 $48 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Semenistaja vs Gasanova Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Remy Bertola Jun 25 $245 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan BUY Marozsan 99¢ $54 5m
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan BUY Marozsan 82¢ $60 5m
Troyes: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Philip Henning BUY Dominic Stephan Stricker 99¢ $5 13m
Troyes: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Thomas Faurel SELL Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 100¢ $761 17m
Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Darja Semenistaja BUY Antonia Ruzic 99¢ $72 17m
Troyes: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Thomas Faurel BUY Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 98¢ $749 24m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $220 41m
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly SELL Henri Squire 100¢ $997 42m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $38 42m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $5 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $5 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $7 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $7 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $7 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $346 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $99 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $7 43m
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang BUY Shuai Zhang 99¢ $7 43m
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly BUY Henri Squire 98¢ $976 58m
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart SELL Jelena Ostapenko 100¢ $1,489 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $1,266 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $27 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $79 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $5 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $44 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $8 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart BUY Jelena Ostapenko 99¢ $47 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Alycia Parks 99¢ $5 1h
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz BUY Hubert Hurkacz 98¢ $756 1h
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin SELL Roman Safiullin 100¢ $2,198 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $206.08 · official $205.50 (match) · 807 history records