Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9e9…f1cc
weather · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$356 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses312 / 100
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions3
Markets (closed)412 / 415
History coverage63d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 412 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$97
7 days+$151
14 days−$233
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 97¢ 98¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? Yes 0¢ 76¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+0%)
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 16¢ 7¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-56%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $361 +$21 +6%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $280 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $11 +$6 +52%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $15 +$4 +27%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $105 +$10 +10%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $165 +$9 +5%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $11 +$4 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $64 +$6 +9%
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends (BO3) - ROG Journey Jun 13 $22 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $384 +$30 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $52 −$7 -13%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $23 −$14 -59%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 +$7 +36%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $15 +$10 +65%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$13 -88%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $219 +$2 +1%
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (+1.5) Jun 09 $86 +$11 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $493 +$25 +5%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 09 $213 +$70 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $17 +$2 +9%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $159 +$8 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $114 −$3 -3%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5) Jun 09 $29 +$9 +31%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $181 +$16 +9%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs RoundsGG (+1.5) Jun 08 $5 +$2 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5) Jun 08 $2 +$2 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $6 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8? Jun 08 $62 +$12 +19%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $9 +$4 +43%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$3 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $45 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $45 +$7 +16%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $26 +$2 +7%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $20 −$17 -84%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand P Jun 07 $60 −$2 -3%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $60 +$3 +5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7? Jun 07 $49 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $64 +$13 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 7? Jun 07 $73 +$8 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 58% +$313
crypto 23% −$217
sports 11% −$54
other 7% −$24
politics 1% +$1
culture 0% +$1
finance 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 96¢ $15 0m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? SELL No 16¢ $4 25m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 78¢ $18 33m
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G SELL No 2¢ $1 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G BUY No 20¢ $5 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya G BUY No 13¢ $5 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 100¢ $76 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 100¢ $180 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? SELL No 100¢ $30 1h
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra BUY No 97¢ $60 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 98¢ $104 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner BUY Nexus 79¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 65¢ $11 7h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 7h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $99 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? SELL Yes 100¢ $95 8h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 98¢ $177 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 95¢ $271 10h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 91¢ $90 10h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 78¢ $15 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $115 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $105 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $174 19h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 95¢ $165 20h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL No 100¢ $15 24h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $15 24h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 75¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: Atputies vs Noir Verse - Map 1 Winner BUY Atputies 35¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Metizport 100¢ $28 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -5.1% -14.1% 74% 35% -5.6%
≤30d 158 -2.6% -11.9% 78% 35% -9.8%
≤90d 412 -3.7% -12.9% 76% 35% -9.6%
all 412 -3.7% -12.9% 76% 35% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 35% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 16% -18.2%
15% -28.8% 8% -26.1%
20% -35.8% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.65 · official $74.65 (match) · 3500 history records