Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T15:22:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb9e5…1809 sports 225 markets active 18d ago coverage 84d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 83d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$130,349 (-7%) realized −$130,349 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate78%176W / 49L
Whale WR75%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7,835per market
Trades / day38.8pace
Fees−$6,757est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$241,802
other 1% +$3,467
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 43 -6.6% -15.5% 81% 37% -43.4%
≤90d 163 +5.5% -4.6% 80% 46% -20.9%
all 225 +7.1% -3.1% 78% 41% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.1% 41% -21.9%
10% -12.4% 17% -29.3%
15% ← realistic here -20.9% 7% -36.2%
20% -28.6% 5% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 75% (≥$9,723) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +20% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,277 vs −$9,450 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$130,349
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses176 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$6,757
Open positions0
Markets (closed)225 / 225
History coverage84d ⚠
Avg bet$7,835
Trades / day38.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 225 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $227,798 −$216,726 -95%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1,905 +$95 +5%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1,005 +$95 +10%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $8,168 −$8,101 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3,482 +$517 +15%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $3,074 +$126 +4%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2,072 +$128 +6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $77,467 +$42,033 +54%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5 Jun 04 $1,815 +$185 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $36,268 −$36,139 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 Jun 04 $1,776 −$1,770 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $8,632 +$768 +9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $10,449 +$884 +8%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 03 $189 +$11 +6%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) Jun 03 $8,935 +$1,305 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $21,906 +$5,735 +26%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $78 +$22 +29%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $116 −$115 -99%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 02 $2,411 −$2,402 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $846 +$154 +18%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 02 $203 +$97 +48%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $5,650 +$350 +6%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $412 +$88 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $2,221 +$534 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $4,781 +$219 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $910 +$90 +10%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann May 31 $912 +$88 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $903 +$97 +11%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 31 $824 +$176 +21%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $94 +$6 +6%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20,151 +$5,740 +28%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $15,607 +$3,218 +21%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 May 30 $273 +$27 +10%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) May 30 $1,863 +$137 +7%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1,629 +$371 +23%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova May 30 $753 +$47 +6%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina May 30 $26,852 +$643 +2%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $10 −$9 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $155 −$154 -99%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky May 30 $9,206 +$1,112 +12%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Tamara Korpatsch May 29 $22,538 +$1,662 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $2,326 +$427 +18%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $9,234 −$5,586 -60%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek May 29 $2,935 +$65 +2%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $43,202 +$24,164 +56%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot May 28 $10,389 +$277 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $13,481 +$1,069 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osaka May 28 $456 +$44 +10%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions May 28 $318 −$313 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 65¢ $65 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 67¢ $67 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 69¢ $69 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 71¢ $48 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 71¢ $23 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 73¢ $73 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 75¢ $75 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 76¢ $76 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 77¢ $77 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 78¢ $78 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 79¢ $79 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 80¢ $80 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 81¢ $81 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 83¢ $83 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $84 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 85¢ $85 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 86¢ $86 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 87¢ $87 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 88¢ $88 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 89¢ $89 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 90¢ $90 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 91¢ $91 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 92¢ $92 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 93¢ $516 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $2,899 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $91 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $26 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $16 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $16 17d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $16 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records