Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:46:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9e4…e41a
crypto · 1784 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$209 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$209 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$209
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1295 / 572
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1867 / 1784
History coverage20d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day110.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$148
14 days−$183
30 days−$209
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$4 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $35 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $35 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $35 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $35 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $35 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $35 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $12 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $35 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $35 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $35 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $35 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $35 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 -14.4% -22.6% 65% 33% -12.1%
≤30d 1867 -5.3% -14.4% 69% 35% -10.6%
≤90d 1867 -5.3% -14.4% 69% 35% -10.6%
all 1867 -5.3% -14.4% 69% 35% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 35% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 9% -19.2%
15% -30.0% 4% -27.0%
20% -36.9% 3% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records