Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9e1…a3f4
other · 187 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$19 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses111 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)187 / 187
History coverage46d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 187 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$4
14 days−$18
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5? Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Crusaders win? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 6? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 4? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 11? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 11? No 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 19? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5? Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -6%
Will Crusaders win? Jun 08 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 08 $4 −$3 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 06 $8 +$1 +10%
Will Crusaders win? Jun 06 $13 +$4 +27%
Will Hurricanes win? Jun 05 $3 $0 +10%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 04 $2 $0 -4%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 04 $1 $0 -1%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 04 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$2 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$58
crypto 20% −$3
tech 15% −$28
finance 15% −$8
sports 1% −$3
world 1% +$4
weather 1% +$1
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -3.5% -12.7% 56% 35% -7.5%
≤30d 84 -10.2% -18.8% 54% 36% -8.7%
≤90d 187 -8.4% -17.2% 59% 44% -7.5%
all 187 -8.4% -17.2% 59% 44% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 44% -7.5%
10% -25.1% 34% -16.3%
15% -32.3% 23% -24.4%
20% -39.0% 14% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 481 history records