Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:22:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb9e1…6e42 crypto 26 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$9 (-12%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate31%8W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day86.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 27% -25.2%
≤30d 26 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 27% -25.2%
≤90d 26 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 27% -25.2%
all 26 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 27% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 27% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -43.6% 23% -32.3%
15% -49.1% 23% -38.9%
20% -54.1% 23% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 43% · top 2 66% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -48% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses8 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day86.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 26 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$9 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 107 history records