trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 62% | 25% | -6.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 70% | 20% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 74% | 22% | -4.8% |
| all | 23 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 74% | 22% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 22% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 0% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 0% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 0% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 88¢ | $54 | $55 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 22 | $23 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary electio | Jun 21 | $34 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 21 | $17 | +$1 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $14 | +$3 | +21% |
| Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Jun 16 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary elec | Jun 15 | $4 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $8 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $44 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $42 | +$2 | +5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | May 28 | $39 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $36 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | May 14 | $34 | +$3 | +8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 13 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |