Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:17:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9c1…1411
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses15 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$12 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$7 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -16.3% -24.3% 50% 33% -20.3%
≤30d 30 -16.3% -24.3% 50% 33% -20.3%
≤90d 30 -16.3% -24.3% 50% 33% -20.3%
all 30 -16.3% -24.3% 50% 33% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.3% 33% -20.3%
10% -31.5% 30% -27.9%
15% -38.1% 20% -34.9%
20% -44.2% 20% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 86 history records