trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 44% | 11% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 45% | 9% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 45% | 9% | -9.1% |
| all | 21 | +10.1% | -0.4% | 62% | 10% | +3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.4% | 10% | +3.1% |
| 10% | -9.9% | 5% | -6.8% |
| 15% | -18.6% | 5% | -15.8% |
| 20% | -26.6% | 5% | -24.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $26 | $27 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $28 | +$1 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$1 | -28% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $34 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Marc Gasol make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of | Mar 22 | $120 | −$1 | -1% |
| Ducks vs. Canucks | Mar 05 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Villanova vs. Georgetown | Mar 04 | $117 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on February 26? | Mar 04 | $38 | +$76 | +203% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25? | Feb 26 | $37 | +$4 | +10% |