Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:28:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb9bc…4479 crypto 141 markets active 1h ago coverage 232d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%131W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day0.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$75now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 26 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 63 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 134 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

232d coverage
Net worth$75
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses131 / 3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)134 / 141
History coverage232d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 134 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Solana reach $90 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7? Jun 09 $40 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $100 June 1-7? Jun 09 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $50 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2? Jun 04 $20 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $170 in May? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Jun 02 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 30? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? May 29 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 28? May 29 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26? May 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 26? May 28 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 19? May 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 19? May 26 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? May 26 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 19? May 26 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19? May 20 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 18? May 19 $70 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 13? May 18 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 13? May 18 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on May 17? May 18 $40 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 10? May 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 May 4-10? May 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 10? May 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 7? May 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? May 07 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 5? May 07 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3? May 06 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 3? May 06 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 29? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 29? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? May 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28? Apr 29 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28? Apr 29 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 22? Apr 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on April 22? Apr 28 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 21? Apr 22 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 21? Apr 22 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19? Apr 21 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 14? Apr 18 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? Apr 15 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 12? Apr 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 7? Apr 10 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Solana reach $90 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 25h
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $10 5d
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $20 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $20 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $10 5d
Will Solana reach $100 June 1-7? BUY No 100¢ $50 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7? BUY No 100¢ $20 10d
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 June 1-7? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $50 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $50 10d
Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7? BUY No 99¢ $40 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $20 12d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $30 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $20 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $30 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $40 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $30 19d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $5 25d
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $40 26d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? BUY No 100¢ $10 26d
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $10 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $10 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.83 · official $74.83 (match) · 298 history records