Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9b0…2e37
crypto · 58 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$14 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses21 / 29
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)50 / 58
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 8 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$13
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Curaçao 30¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 20¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) Curaçao 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 14 $2 +$31 +1505%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +171%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$10
other 19% +$21
sports 8% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 11¢ $1 1h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 30¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 1h
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 0¢ $1 4h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 23h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 26h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 26h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +18.0% +6.8% 27% 19% +23.4%
≤30d 50 +6.4% -3.7% 42% 34% +8.3%
≤90d 50 +6.4% -3.7% 42% 34% +8.3%
all 50 +6.4% -3.7% 42% 34% +8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.7% 34% +8.3%
10% -12.9% 26% -2.1%
15% -21.3% 20% -11.6%
20% -29.1% 16% -20.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.83 · official $7.28 (match) · 108 history records