Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb9ae…8c04
crypto · 334 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$59
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses158 / 175
Open positions1
Markets (closed)333 / 334
History coverage36d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76
7 days−$64
14 days−$59
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 45¢ 36¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 -1.3% -10.7% 47% 47% -22.3%
≤30d 322 -0.5% -10.0% 47% 47% -20.5%
≤90d 333 +0.4% -9.1% 47% 47% -19.8%
all 333 +0.4% -9.1% 47% 47% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 47% -19.8%
10% -17.8% 47% -27.5%
15% -25.8% 46% -34.5%
20% -33.0% 45% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.43 · official $3.30 (match) · 542 history records