Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:27:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb9ab…dfd0 crypto 336 markets active 2d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d only
✗ bot/MM pace (949 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,535 (-36%) realized −$4,535 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate31%190W / 425L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day948.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$12now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$318
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (949 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 +10.7% +0.1% 31% 26% -24.7%
≤30d 615 +10.7% +0.1% 31% 26% -24.7%
≤90d 615 +10.7% +0.1% 31% 26% -24.7%
all 615 +10.7% +0.1% 31% 26% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover948.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.1% 26% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 20% -31.9%
15% -18.2% 14% -38.5%
20% -26.2% 10% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -29% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +37% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$12 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.28 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$12
Realized−$4,535
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses190 / 425
Open positions0
Markets (closed)615 / 336
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$38
Trades / day948.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 615 Trades
no open positions (359 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$22 -223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$17 +3767%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$5 -515%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$4 +1857%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$5 -652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$5 -194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$36 +60260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $0 +$6 +9247%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$13 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$55 -1422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$12 -394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$5 -245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$13 -466%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$9 -308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$7 -422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$2 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $19 −$24 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$8 -185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$7 -344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$6 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$12 -3788%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$4 -9237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$5 -514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$7 -301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$7 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 −$25 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$8 +1678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$31 -120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.13 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records