Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:08:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb98f…5901
crypto · 451 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$70 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$120 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses287 / 163
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)450 / 451
History coverage18d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 450 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$37
14 days−$144
30 days−$120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 32¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +19%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$115
sports 2% +$10
other 2% −$16
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 42% -18.3%
≤30d 450 -7.4% -16.2% 64% 30% -13.8%
≤90d 450 -7.4% -16.2% 64% 30% -13.8%
all 450 -7.4% -16.2% 64% 30% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 30% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 20% -22.0%
15% -31.6% 14% -29.5%
20% -38.3% 9% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.83 · official $1.83 (match) · 1841 history records