Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:00:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb984…6b91
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$3 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses17 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)32 / 37
History coverage108d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 5 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 61¢ 99¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+63%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 42¢ 88¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+110%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 84¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? No 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? No 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 -48%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 31 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Mar 31 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 30 $1 $0 +14%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Mar 30 $5 $0 +1%
US forces enter Iran by March 14? Mar 25 $2 $0 +11%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? Mar 11 $1 $0 +10%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? Mar 10 $1 $0 +22%
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? Mar 02 $1 −$1 -100%
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? Mar 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Mar 02 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Mar 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Mar 02 $1 $0 +26%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? Feb 28 $1 −$1 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $1 −$1 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25? Feb 26 $1 +$1 +61%
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 34% −$3
other 33% +$8
world 20% −$5
sports 11% +$1
finance 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $3 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 61¢ $3 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 42¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 20h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $8 34h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $0 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -23.2% -30.5% 44% 31% -17.1%
≤30d 16 -23.2% -30.5% 44% 31% -17.1%
≤90d 21 -12.5% -20.8% 57% 43% -12.6%
all 32 -22.0% -29.4% 53% 41% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.4% 41% -20.2%
10% -36.2% 31% -27.8%
15% -42.3% 25% -34.8%
20% -48.0% 3% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.11 · official $28.11 (match) · 75 history records