Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:15:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb97b…87dc sports 192 markets active 0h ago coverage 46d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 45d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$11,651 (+4%) realized +$12,055 · open −$404
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate55%109W / 88L
Whale WR68%big bets
Drawdown52%max
Avg bet$1,365per market
Trades / day74.5pace
Fees−$4,942est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 46d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$4,283
other 0% +$351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -71.8% -74.5% 25% 0% -68.3%
≤30d 100 +17.6% +6.4% 57% 35% -7.4%
≤90d 197 +2.5% -7.3% 55% 29% -7.8%
all 197 +2.5% -7.3% 55% 29% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover74.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 29% -7.8%
10% -16.2% 16% -16.6%
15% ← realistic here -24.3% 9% -24.7%
20% -31.7% 7% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 68% (≥$1,788) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -13% → late +18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$157 vs −$159 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12,055
Unrealized−$404
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses109 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$4,942
Open positions1
Markets (closed)197 / 192
History coverage46d ⚠
Avg bet$1,365
Trades / day74.5
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 197 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 51¢ 0¢ $405 $0 −$404 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 46 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $712 −$698 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $30 −$30 -100%
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $740 −$642 -87%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $360 −$360 -100%
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks Jun 28 $39 −$251 -635%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $683 +$59 +9%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $68 +$1 +2%
Spread: Norway (-2.5) Jun 16 $203 −$59 -29%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $202 +$97 +48%
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt? Jun 15 $103 −$5 -5%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 15 $203 −$105 -52%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $233 +$209 +90%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,978 +$8 +0%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $202 −$200 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,012 +$164 +16%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,788 −$122 -7%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $2,157 +$59 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,315 +$22 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $300 −$72 -24%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,332 −$408 -18%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $287 −$7 -2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,526 −$126 -8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,234 +$162 +7%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,632 −$159 -6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,736 +$803 +29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,272 −$150 -7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,107 −$143 -13%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,872 +$23 +1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$51 +51%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia Jun 12 $10 +$15 +148%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $30 +$24 +78%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 +$22 +73%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1,691 +$207 +12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,199 −$67 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$186 +206%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $827 +$33 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,029 +$165 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,814 +$560 +31%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,788 −$469 -26%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,095 −$76 -7%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,713 +$330 +9%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1,729 +$37 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,180 −$63 -3%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2,059 −$228 -11%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $459 +$104 +23%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,238 −$128 -10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $748 +$21 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,271 −$84 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 93¢ $742 8m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 85¢ $683 15m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 51¢ $411 42m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 45¢ $356 44m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 70¢ $564 47m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 68¢ $505 53m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 67¢ $34 53m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 62¢ $505 54m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $300 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $82 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $5 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $20 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $100 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $5 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $45 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 82¢ $100 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 79¢ $601 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 80¢ $18 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 80¢ $18 59m
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 19¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 17¢ $116 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 5¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 14¢ $99 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $44 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 96¢ $42 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 84¢ $25 10h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 85¢ $26 10h
Spread: Norway (-2.5) SELL Norway 31¢ $145 11d
Spread: Norway (-2.5) BUY Norway 42¢ $203 11d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $202 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.40 · official $0.40 (match) · 3500 history records