Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:20:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb97a…44f4
other · 119 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$58 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 110
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)119 / 119
History coverage108d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 0 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Heat vs. 76ers Heat 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Celtics Celtics 70¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Celtics Hawks 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Nuggets Warriors 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Clippers Clippers 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Thunder Celtics 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Jazz Jazz 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $20 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $28 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $493 −$1 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $16 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $24 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $26 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $152 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $127 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $164 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 25 $303 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 25 $132 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 24 $166 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 24 $303 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 23 $171 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 23 $662 −$1 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 22 $170 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $388 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 19 $166 $0 -0%
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 19 $169 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $137 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 16 $128 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 16 $130 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 15 $672 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $358 −$1 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 13 $465 −$1 -0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 12 $150 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 11 $131 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 11 $308 $0 -0%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 10 $147 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $126 $0 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 09 $134 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 07 $309 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 07 $318 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 05 $127 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $182 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $852 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 03 $126 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $133 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $140 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 30 $161 $0 -0%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 27 $165 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 27 $160 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 26 $158 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $358 $0 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $184 $0 -0%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 24 $131 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 22 $408 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $362 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $529 −$1 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 20 $138 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$12
politics 35% −$10
sports 8% −$37
tech 6% −$1
economics 4% −$1
crypto 3% $0
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $20 1h
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $20 4h
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $28 2d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $28 4d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $28 4d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $28 6d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $16 7d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 7d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $24 8d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $24 8d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $26 8d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $26 8d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $152 17d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $152 18d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $127 18d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $127 19d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $164 19d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $164 20d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $159 20d
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $159 20d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? SELL No 100¢ $132 20d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 100¢ $132 20d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $166 20d
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $166 21d
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $129 21d
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $129 21d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $171 22d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $171 22d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $156 22d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $156 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 22 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 108 -2.0% -11.3% 6% 5% -9.6%
all 119 -5.2% -14.2% 8% 6% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 6% -9.8%
10% -22.4% 4% -18.4%
15% -29.9% 3% -26.3%
20% -36.8% 3% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 356 history records