Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:55:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb971…471b
crypto · 1454 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses444 / 1008
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1452 / 1454
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day161.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$12
14 days−$187
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 20¢ 68¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+242%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 444 -4.9% -13.9% 30% 28% -11.5%
≤30d 1452 -20.7% -28.2% 31% 27% -12.5%
≤90d 1452 -20.7% -28.2% 31% 27% -12.5%
all 1452 -20.7% -28.2% 31% 27% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.2% 27% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.1% 16% -20.8%
15% -41.4% 12% -28.5%
20% -47.1% 11% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.42 · official $3.02 (match) · 3500 history records