Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T23:41:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb96a…cc1b crypto 55 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (183 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,267 (+18%) realized +$1,267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate64%35W / 20L
Drawdown50%max
Avg bet$129per market
Trades / day183.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$997
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (183 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -0.6% -10.1% 64% 58% +3.2%
≤30d 55 -0.6% -10.1% 64% 58% +3.2%
≤90d 55 -0.6% -10.1% 64% 58% +3.2%
all 55 -0.6% -10.1% 64% 58% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 58% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 45% -6.7%
15% -26.5% 35% -15.7%
20% -33.7% 24% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +14% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late +14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$64 vs −$62 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.81 per $1 lost it wins $1.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses35 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$129
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$62 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 29 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $564 −$53 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $103 +$74 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $430 +$89 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $231 +$71 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $283 +$75 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 29 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 29 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 29 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 29 $308 −$308 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$65 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $254 +$87 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 29 $104 +$129 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 29 $204 +$81 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 29 $614 −$93 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 29 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 29 $182 +$285 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 29 $356 +$116 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 29 $160 +$149 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 29 $204 +$85 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 29 $154 +$74 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 29 $381 +$66 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$32 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $154 +$82 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 29 $357 +$289 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 29 $131 −$76 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $178 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $77 +$32 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$55 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 29 $35 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 29 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 29 $127 +$46 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $57 +$49 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 29 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 29 $31 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $106 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 29 $127 +$35 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $16 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $52 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 246 history records