Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T02:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb964…033e sports 204 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$787 (+2%) realized +$785 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate53%108W / 95L
Whale WR70%big bets
Drawdown81%max
Avg bet$231per market
Trades / day86.2pace
Fees−$468est.
Kalshi-fit55%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$124
14 days+$659
30 days+$596
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 54% +$56
sports 42% +$489
world 2% +$1
crypto 1% +$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +14.1% +3.3% 58% 15% -8.5%
≤30d 192 +11.8% +1.1% 54% 22% -7.8%
≤90d 203 +9.0% -1.4% 53% 22% -7.7%
all 203 +9.0% -1.4% 53% 22% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 22% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.9% 12% -16.5%
15% -19.5% 9% -24.6%
20% -27.4% 6% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 70% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +10% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$20 · ×1.18 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.35 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$785
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses108 / 95
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$468
Open positions1
Markets (closed)203 / 204
History coverage30d
Avg bet$231
Trades / day86.2
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit55%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 203 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 2¢ 2¢ $3 $6 +$2 (+63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 53 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 24 $375 +$21 +6%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $132 +$35 +27%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $225 +$17 +8%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $222 +$69 +31%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? Jun 24 $2,234 +$39 +2%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $244 −$28 -11%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $523 +$15 +3%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? Jun 24 $323 +$30 +9%
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $116 +$21 +18%
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $130 +$8 +6%
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $689 −$9 -1%
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $190 +$11 +6%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $217 −$14 -6%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Grêmio Novorizontino: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $89 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal? Jun 23 $101 +$5 +5%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5 Jun 23 $350 −$2 -1%
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal? Jun 23 $1,233 +$20 +2%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 23 $224 +$5 +2%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Jun 23 $111 +$6 +6%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 23 $940 +$80 +8%
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal? Jun 23 $2 $0 +21%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $378 +$9 +2%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? Jun 23 $1,640 +$59 +4%
Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $2 $0 -0%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 23 $395 −$74 -19%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 23 $860 +$65 +8%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? Jun 23 $664 −$102 -15%
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $372 +$4 +1%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq? Jun 23 $208 −$105 -50%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $30 +$4 +12%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5 Jun 22 $963 −$99 -10%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt? Jun 22 $534 +$13 +2%
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt? Jun 22 $595 +$17 +3%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $830 +$22 +3%
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt? Jun 22 $96 +$4 +4%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 22 $100 −$9 -9%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $594 $0 -0%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 22 $121 +$14 +12%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? Jun 22 $11 −$7 -60%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $787 +$10 +1%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 Jun 21 $129 −$29 -22%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Jun 21 $361 +$19 +5%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? Jun 21 $774 −$5 -1%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $796 +$22 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $19 0m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $7 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 1m
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 1¢ $1 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $13 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $19 1m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $15 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $10 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $6 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $5 2m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $2 3m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 19¢ $3 3m
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 2¢ $2 4m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 18¢ $67 4m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 18¢ $44 4m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 7m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL No 85¢ $94 8m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 84¢ $10 8m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL No 85¢ $24 8m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 84¢ $26 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL No 85¢ $1 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL No 85¢ $2 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? SELL No 85¢ $25 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 84¢ $5 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 84¢ $51 9m
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 84¢ $53 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.52 · official $7.89 · 2668 history records