Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:25:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb961…1ef7 crypto 100 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR70%break-even
Win rate77%77W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day6.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$14
14 days−$13
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -2.7% -12.0% 79% 73% -11.4%
≤30d 100 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 70% -11.0%
≤90d 100 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 70% -11.0%
all 100 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 70% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 70% -11.0%
10% -19.3% 43% -19.5%
15% -27.1% 14% -27.3%
20% -34.2% 9% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses77 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage15d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records