Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb95e…8b12
weather · 826 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$558 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$551 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$191
Realized+$551
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses586 / 219
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions20
Markets (closed)805 / 826
History coverage133d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 20 History 805 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51
7 days+$108
14 days+$171
30 days+$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $127 $133 +$5 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? No 87¢ 100¢ $22 $25 +$3 (+15%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 13? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8? No 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 4? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 10? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 +$13 +77%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $42 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +562%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 11? Jun 12 $30 +$6 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $81 +$5 +7%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$4 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $80 +$5 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $58 +$7 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10? Jun 11 $7 −$1 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $27 +$10 +36%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $37 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $63 +$9 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 10? Jun 10 $101 +$9 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $59 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 9? Jun 10 $15 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 9? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 10? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $194 −$6 -3%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$2 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $21 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $20 +$3 +16%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 9? Jun 09 $8 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 94% +$562
other 3% +$13
crypto 2% −$21
sports 1% +$7
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $92 52m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 93¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 5¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 61¢ $1 2h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 64¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 63¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL No 57¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 61¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 86¢ $5 5h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 94¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 95¢ $27 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 63¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 85¢ $2 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $10 12h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $16 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -0.7% -10.1% 67% 37% -2.6%
≤30d 288 +5.5% -4.5% 78% 35% -1.9%
≤90d 780 +8.8% -1.6% 73% 34% -2.4%
all 805 +9.3% -1.2% 73% 35% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.2% 35% -2.3%
10% -10.6% 20% -11.6%
15% -19.2% 13% -20.2%
20% -27.2% 8% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $191.23 · official $191.57 (match) · 2556 history records