Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb95c…f1dc
sports · 10 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$7 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)7 / 10
History coverage104d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No 77¢ 72¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 85¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Celtics vs. Hornets Hornets 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars Houston Cougars 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 01 $6 +$2 +41%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $4 +$3 +73%
Celtics vs. Hornets Mar 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars Mar 25 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 25 $3 +$3 +92%
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) Mar 25 $8 +$9 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$8
world 20% +$1
politics 8% $0
other 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 85¢ $4 7d
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 13d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? BUY No 71¢ $6 16d
Knicks vs. Cavaliers BUY Knicks 57¢ $4 18d
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 77¢ $4 33d
Celtics vs. Hornets BUY Hornets 52¢ $5 75d
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars BUY Houston Cougars 59¢ $18 78d
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) BUY Liverpool FC 46¢ $8 104d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs BUY 100 Thieves 52¢ $3 104d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 3 +4.7% -5.3% 67% 67% +19.2%
≤90d 7 +3.4% -6.5% 57% 57% -23.4%
all 7 +3.4% -6.5% 57% 57% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.5% 57% -23.4%
10% -15.4% 57% -30.7%
15% -23.6% 57% -37.4%
20% -31.1% 43% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.44 · official $10.44 (match) · 14 history records