trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 25% | 25% | -12.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 17% | 17% | -11.7% |
| all | 22 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 50% | 9% | -7.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.2% | 9% | -7.0% |
| 10% | +10.5% | 5% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -0.2% | 5% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -10.0% | 5% | -31.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $44 | −$4 | -8% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $18 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Dec 21 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 15 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 09 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 07 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4? | Apr 07 | $3 | +$20 | +773% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days? | Apr 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Apr 04 | $27 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March? | Apr 03 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 02 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | Mar 31 | $24 | $0 | +0% |