Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:13:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb952…731e
sports · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses51 / 65
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions13
Markets (closed)116 / 129
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 13 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$2
14 days−$9
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +87%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $1 $0 +24%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $1 +$1 +121%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Jun 05 $1 +$1 +58%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 05 $1 +$1 +99%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $3 $0 -11%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 04 $1 +$1 +127%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $1 +$1 +115%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $1 +$1 +99%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $1 $0 +9%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 03 $1 +$1 +84%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 03 $1 +$1 +116%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 02 $1 $0 +8%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 02 $1 $0 +10%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $1 $0 +11%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 31 $1 +$1 +91%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $1 +$1 +106%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 31 $1 +$1 +68%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) May 31 $2 +$2 +105%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? May 31 $1 +$1 +60%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $1 +$1 +143%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 30 $1 +$1 +81%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$11
other 21% −$5
crypto 3% −$2
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 18m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 19m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 24m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 38m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 4h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 11h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 21h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 21h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -43.7% -49.1% 20% 20% -48.9%
≤30d 116 -8.9% -17.6% 44% 37% -15.6%
≤90d 116 -8.9% -17.6% 44% 37% -15.6%
all 116 -8.9% -17.6% 44% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 37% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 31% -23.7%
15% -32.7% 28% -31.1%
20% -39.3% 24% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.22 · official $8.22 (match) · 476 history records