trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 45¢ | 14¢ | $6 | $2 | −$4 (-68%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 20¢ | 6¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-68%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$8 | +785% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +106.4% | +86.8% | 57% | 57% | +25.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +106.4% | +86.8% | 57% | 57% | +25.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +106.4% | +86.8% | 57% | 57% | +25.6% |
| all | 7 | +106.4% | +86.8% | 57% | 57% | +25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +86.8% | 57% | +25.6% |
| 10% | +68.9% | 43% | +13.6% |
| 15% | +52.6% | 29% | +2.6% |
| 20% | +37.6% | 29% | -7.4% |