Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:30:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb94c…3c05
other · 140 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$110 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$282
Realized+$97
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses39 / 88
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions13
Markets (closed)127 / 140
History coverage770d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 13 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $50 $62 +$12 (+23%)
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 24¢ 25¢ $59 $62 +$2 (+4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-3%)
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 38¢ 38¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $20 $32 +$13 (+63%)
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-22%)
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 52¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Will Bart Verbruggen win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+175%)
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 22¢ 1¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-94%)
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-98%)
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? No 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$31 +154%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $47 −$46 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 27 $39 +$21 +53%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 19 $158 +$122 +77%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $15 −$15 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? Apr 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? Mar 24 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Mar 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Mar 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m Mar 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? Mar 20 $47 +$10 +20%
Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $0 $0 -100%
Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Mar 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15? Mar 20 $13 −$13 -100%
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 74? Mar 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Mar 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m? Mar 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase? Mar 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Endrick sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? Mar 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Mar 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025? Mar 20 $13 −$6 -43%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? Mar 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening week Mar 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Inter Milan finish first in UCL league phase? Mar 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90 Mar 20 $67 −$67 -100%
Will Pafos advance to the round of 16? Mar 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than Mar 20 $150 −$150 -100%
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? Mar 20 $59 −$59 -100%
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 14 $27 −$24 -87%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 11 $18 +$22 +127%
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 08 $11 +$9 +85%
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16? Feb 21 $2 +$59 +2965%
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier Le Feb 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16? Jan 29 $1 +$10 +669%
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase? Jan 20 $85 +$23 +28%
Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window Jan 18 $2 +$18 +800%
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer windo Jan 12 $5 +$4 +90%
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? Jan 04 $6 −$3 -48%
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? Dec 24 $25 −$12 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 32% +$374
culture 27% −$94
other 27% −$94
sports 9% −$43
tech 2% +$38
economics 2% −$73
world 1% +$6
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Bart Verbruggen win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 16h
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 19h
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 19h
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 19h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 60¢ $10 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $20 24h
Will Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 52¢ $10 2d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $21 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $51 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $51 2d
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 38¢ $36 2d
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 2d
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 2d
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 2d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 46¢ $47 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 14d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? BUY Yes 15¢ $9 17d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? SELL Yes 75¢ $18 20d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 76¢ $20 20d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 20d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 48¢ $19 20d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 20d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? SELL Yes 28¢ $5 21d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 21d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 21d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 21d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? BUY Yes 18¢ $8 22d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? SELL Yes 100¢ $280 24d
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? BUY Yes 29¢ $8 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +154.2% +130.0% 100% 100% +130.0%
≤30d 5 +16.9% +5.7% 60% 60% +32.4%
≤90d 38 -80.0% -81.9% 11% 11% -49.5%
all 127 +2.8% -7.0% 31% 28% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 28% -8.0%
10% -15.9% 23% -16.8%
15% -24.0% 21% -24.8%
20% -31.4% 17% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $281.97 · official $282.06 (match) · 739 history records