Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:21:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb94c…4c0c
other · 6 markets active 3d ago
3.0score
+$11,814 +113%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,822 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized+$11,822
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,741
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$11,822
14 days+$11,822
30 days+$11,822
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 38¢ 19¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? Jun 09 $36 +$6 +17%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,682 +$487 +29%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $5,939 +$10,303 +174%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $2,752 +$1,026 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$11,822
sports 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 38¢ $15 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $66 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $22 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $7 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $116 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 96¢ $211 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 85¢ $129 2d
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? BUY Yes 85¢ $36 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 96¢ $166 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 84¢ $74 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $426 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 97¢ $499 2d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 85¢ $27 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $68 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $9 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $57 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $73 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $23 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $34 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $207 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 81¢ $145 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 94¢ $646 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $66 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 52¢ $9 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 52¢ $121 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $190 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $18 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $8 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+48.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +64.2% +48.5% 100% 100% +93.2%
≤30d 4 +64.2% +48.5% 100% 100% +93.2%
≤90d 4 +64.2% +48.5% 100% 100% +93.2%
all 4 +64.2% +48.5% 100% 100% +93.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +48.5% 100% +93.2%
10% +34.3% 75% +74.7%
15% ← realistic here +21.3% 50% +57.9%
20% +9.4% 25% +42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.49 · official $27.49 (match) · 119 history records