Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb945…db68
crypto · 48 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,631 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,631 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,631
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses31 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 48
History coverage2d
Avg bet$609
Trades / day1646.8
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$743
7 days+$1,631
14 days+$1,631
30 days+$1,631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $678 +$45 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $351 −$76 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $461 +$93 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $454 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $713 +$94 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $428 −$57 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $368 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $457 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $750 +$47 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$108 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $788 −$166 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $975 −$69 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,009 +$101 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $443 +$53 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $809 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $893 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $407 +$27 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $629 +$447 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $834 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $793 +$78 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $657 −$17 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $560 +$251 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $430 +$109 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $422 +$15 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $944 −$30 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $387 +$25 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $500 −$26 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $387 −$151 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $608 +$135 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $440 −$84 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $406 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $203 −$67 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $424 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $224 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $615 +$188 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $150 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $515 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,011 +$80 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,930
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -16.2% -24.2% 52% 17% -4.5%
≤30d 60 -16.2% -24.2% 52% 17% -4.5%
≤90d 60 -16.2% -24.2% 52% 17% -4.5%
all 60 -16.2% -24.2% 52% 17% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1646.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 17% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.5% 10% -13.7%
15% -38.1% 5% -22.0%
20% -44.2% 3% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records