Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb941…3cdf
crypto · 224 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$83 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses139 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)224 / 224
History coverage106d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$18 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$72
sports 0% −$8
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $11 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $9 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 45% -11.7%
≤30d 216 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 45% -11.7%
≤90d 216 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 45% -11.7%
all 224 -4.6% -13.7% 62% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 45% -12.2%
10% -21.9% 20% -20.6%
15% -29.5% 8% -28.3%
20% -36.4% 3% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 728 history records